Oscar predictions 2025: Who will win vs. who should win this year

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Will Win, Should Win: “Anora”The sensational stripper Cinderella story has won a convincing combo of lead-up prizes: The Cannes Palme d’Or, Producers Guild, Directors Guild, Writers Guild and Critics Choice.

Possible upset “Conclave,” about the election of a new pope, took the BAFTA and SAG, yes, but it’s the colder, thinkier movie of the two. Will Win: Demi Moore, “The Substance”In recent years, the Oscars have loved feel-good career awards.

Think Michelle Yeoh and Brendan Fraser. This would be 62-year-old Moore’s first Oscar ever, and she hasn’t been shy about that.

The one thing going against G.I. Jane is the divisiveness of her body-horror flick. That could swing it to Madison or even Torres.Should Win: Mikey Madison, “Anora”The 25-year-old phenom is pure magic in a performance that, while surrounded by superb actors, carries the movie of the year.Will Win, Should Win: Timothée Chalamet, “A Complete Unknown“The 29-year-old actor winning the SAG Award felt like a big deal.

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