New York Times ‘Needle’ Election Predictor Launches Amid Tech Workers Union Strike

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Todd Spangler NY Digital Editor The New York Times’ Needle lives: The newspaper’s popular election-prediction gauge made its return on Tuesday night — despite the ongoing strike called Monday by the union representing tech employees at the paper.

The NY Times’ Needle, first introduced in 2016, estimates the final outcome of an election based on partial election results.

As more results come in, the Needle changes to signal the likelihood of the final outcome of a given race — with “tossup” at the center position and gradations marked “lean,” “likely” and “very likely” on either side for the Democratic and Republican candidates. “The Needle is live!” Nate Cohn, the Times’ chief political analyst, wrote in an update at about 8:22 p.m.

ET on the site. “Our election night forecast shows an extremely close race. Almost all of the vote counted so far points toward a very close election, as anticipated.” The Needle for the U.S.

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