The UK may already have 55,000 coronavirus cases, the government's chief scientific advisor declared today. Sir Patrick Vallance said the figure was a "reasonable ballpark" despite just over 1,500 COVID-19 cases being confirmed through testing.
He added "the hope is we can get it down to" around 20,000 deaths, from a previous prediction of 250,000, by using stringent measures to keep people at home.
Sir Patrick said annual excess deaths from seasonal flu were around 8,000. He added: "If we can get this down to numbers 20,000 and below, that's a good outcome in terms of where we would hope to get to with this outbreak. "But that's still horrible.
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