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This year’s Tony Award nominees for Best Musical have never been so unpredictable

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The Outsiders,” as vicious as the Greasers and the Socs.Ten of those 15 eligible productions are still running, but there will be only five Best Musical nominees called out (six if there’s a tie).

So, more than half of what’s on could get the brush.A Tony nod is a big deal for reasons beyond the prestige. The lucky nominees get to perform on the CBS telecast for 4 million potential ticket-buyers, many of whom are hearing about these shows for the first time.

And they’ll be able to do additional rounds of national press appearances right as summer tourists hit NYC.However, that enhanced exposure will be tougher to achieve in what is the most unpredictable year on Broadway in recent memory.

Nobody in town is totally confident about what will be nominated, let alone what will win.Part of the confusion is that nothing new has emerged as a major box-office hit, a la “Hamilton,” “The Book of Mormon” or “Dear Evan Hansen.” Some shows (“The Outsiders,” “Hell’s Kitchen,” “The Great Gatsby”) are chugging along, hoping for a Tonys boost.

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