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Mike Tildesley

Experts explain what's going on with coronavirus and how worried UK should be

Mike Tildesley Britain death hospital testing infection and

17.09.2020 - 23:26

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Flatten the sombrero, avoid a camel’s hump? How do we make sense of all those Covid graphs, charts and curves? And what do they tell us about how bad things might get?

Prof Mike Tildesley, an expert in mathematical modelling of infectious disease, says we can take heart that death rates are still low, even as infections climb.

Even in Bolton, the worst-hit area, there are only two Covid patients in hospital, while across all 18 areas in some form of lockdown just 141 people are hospitalised.

Even with 4,000 new cases a day, it’s still far off where we were in March and April, when an estimated 100,000 were falling ill.

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