Emmy Predictions: Limited or Anthology Series — ‘The Penguin’ Was the Frontrunner, Until ‘Adolescence’ Was Released

variety.com:

Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis.

The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender.

As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday. Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series Commentary (Updated March 27, 2025): For months, the Limited or Anthology Series race looked like a Gotham City stroll: dark, moody, and all but owned by HBO/Max’s “The Penguin.” The “Batman” spinoff, starring award-winning darling Colin Farrell as the crime boss, came onto the scene with high expectations and even higher production value.

It was the early frontrunner in the category — until Netflix decided to drop a story about a troubled teenager. Enter “Adolescence,” a taut, disturbing crime thriller that premiered with the same kind of overnight buzz that propelled last year’s “Baby Reindeer” from niche to juggernaut.