A column chronicling conversations and events on the awards circuit. “Well Pete do you think we already know who all the winners are?” That was the weary question that greeted me on a rainy night this week when I arrived for a Q&A at The London, the last one – for me at least- of this long, very long season that is now travelling into its final weekend of campaigning and awards action before the Academy finally has its moment.
Following a particularly big weekend for what is now the undisputed front runner, Everything Everywhere All At Once, this veteran pair of publicists who have pretty much seen it all in their careers and are working on one of the Best Picture nominees, were wondering if I thought it was all over.
Of course it could be. Statistically when a movie sweeps all the major guilds there is a good chance it is. But I wasn’t just giving lip service when I opined that this particular year may not follow the rules of the game, and, as I offered in a Sunday night column after the historic SAG sweep for A24 and Everything Everywhere, lone wolf BAFTA seemed to signal with its nearly wholesale wipeout for that movie (except for Film Editing) at the hands of a German language anti-war movie remake of a 1930 Oscar winning Best Picture, that possibly we can ask the question: are the two most prominent Academys on the same trajectory – or not ? (BAFTA has only matched Oscar’s Best Picture choice once in the past 8 years).
It really depends who you are talking to. Most pundits have drunk the Kool Aid at this point and I don’t blame them, especially since All Quiet wasn’t even nominated at any of the four major guilds.
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