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Oscars 2021 predictions: who will win, and who should win?

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Will and should win: NomadlandChloé Zhao’s bittersweet road movie has led the race since taking the Golden Lion at Venice almost eight months ago: for a rival to slip past now would be an almighty shock.

Will and should win: Chloé Zhao, NomadlandA fresh face, a huge, distinctive talent, and the first nonwhite woman ever to be nominated, Zhao ticks every box that matters.

Will win: Anthony Hopkins, The FatherShould win: Riz Ahmed, Sound of MetalPosthumous recognition for Chadwick Boseman’s career-topping turn in Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom has long felt like a foregone conclusion here – but Hopkins’ Bafta win suggests a surprise is in store.

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